Friday, February 24, 2017

OVC Tournament Tiebreaker Scenarios Heading Into Saturday's Games

The Ohio Valley Conference standings are very complex with one weekend of games to go before the OVC Tournament in Nashville.

Here's what we know for sure:

- Belmont has won the conference and will be the No. 1 seed
- UT Martin and SEMO are tied in the West and have the best path to the No. 2 seed
- Morehead State will be the No. 3 seed with a win on Saturday and have locked up at least a No. 4 seed already
- The OVC Tournament field will definitely be Belmont, Jacksonville State, Morehead State, Murray State, SEMO, Tennessee State, Tennessee Tech and UT Martin
- Eastern Kentucky, Austin Peay, SIU-Edwardsville and Eastern Illinois did not qualify for the tournament
- The Tennessee State band will be in arena for at least one night and they are worth the price of admission
- Then...it gets a little fuzzy.

Here's a breakdown of scenarios from the league:

Belmont, Jacksonville State, Morehead State, Murray State, Southeast Missouri, Tennessee State, Tennessee Tech and UT Martin have clinched spots in the field.

Belmont (14-1) will be the No. 1 seed and receive a double bye to the semifinals.

The West Division Winner and No. 2 seed will be either Southeast Missouri or UT Martin.

SEMO clinches the No. 2 seed with a win on Saturday (would have better record vs. West Division in tiebreaker with UTM if UTM also wins).

UT Martin would be No. 2 seed with win and SEMO loss.

If SEMO, UTM and MUR all finish 9-7 (SEMO loses, MUR beats UTM), SEMO wins tiebreaker with 3- 1 composite record.

NOTE: If 2 or 3 teams are tied for West Division, after a tiebreaker the team(s) not winning division would go into seeding with teams 3-8.

If Morehead State and UT Martin are tied at 10-6 (assumes SEMO wins and is No. 2 seed) … UTM won season series 1-1 and would be No. 3 seed.

If Jacksonville State, Murray State, Tennessee State, Tennessee Tech, UT Martin are tied at 9-7 … Composite Records: MUR (4-1), JSU (4-2), TTU (3-3), TSU (2-4), UTM (1-4)

If Jacksonville State, Southeast Missouri, Tennessee State and Tennessee Tech are tied at 9-7 (assumes UTM is No. 2 seed) … Composite Records: JSU (3-1), TSU (2-3), TTU (2-3), SEMO (1-2)

In TTU/TSU tiebreaker, head-to-head is even 1-1
Both teams would be 1-1 against No. 1 Belmont
TSU would be higher seed (1-0 vs. UTM compared to 0-1 for TTU vs. UTM)

If Murray St., Tennessee State, Tennessee Tech and UT Martin are tied at 9-7 (assumes SEMO is No. 2) …
Composite Records: MUR (3-1), TSU (2-2), TTU (2-2), UTM (1-3)
In TSU/TTU tiebreaker, head-to-head is even 1-1
Both teams would be 1-1 against No. 1 Belmont
TSU would be higher seed (1-0 vs. SEMO, compared to 0-1 for TTU vs. SEMO)

If Jacksonville State, Southeast Missouri and Tennessee Tech are tied at 9-7 …
Composite Records: JSU (2-1), SEMO (1-1), TTU (1-2)

If Murray State and UT Martin are tied at 9-7 (assumes MUR win on Saturday) …
MUR won season series 2-0 and would be higher seed.

If Jacksonville State, Murray State and UT Martin are tied at 9-7 …
Composite Records: MUR (3-0), JSU (1-1), UTM (0-3)

If Murray State, Tennessee Tech and UT Martin are tied at 9-7 …
Composite Records: MUR (2-1), TTU (1-1), UTM (1-2)

If Murray State, Tennessee State and UT Martin are tied at 9-7 …
Composite Records: MUR (3-0), TSU (1-1), UTM (0-3)

If Tennessee State and Tennessee Tech are tied at 9-7 (assumes both win & SEMO is No. 2 seed) …
Split season series 1-1
Both teams would be 1-1 against No. 1 Belmont
TSU would be higher seed (1-0 vs. SEMO compared to 0-1 for TTU against SEMO)

If Jacksonville State, Murray State, Tennessee State and Tennessee Tech are tied at 8-8 …
Composite Records: MUR (2-1), TTU (3-2), JSU (3-2), TSU (1-4)
Murray State would be No. 5
Tennessee Tech would be No. 6 (beat JSU in tiebreaker by with win over No. 1 Belmont)
Jacksonville State would be No. 7
Tennessee State would be No. 8

If Murray State, Tennessee State and Tennessee Tech are tied at 8-8 …
Composite Records: TTU (2-1), MUR (1-1), TSU (1-2)

If Jacksonville State, Tennessee State and Tennessee Tech are tied at 8-8 …
Composite Records: JSU (3-1), TTU (2-2), TSU (1-3)

If Jacksonville State, Murray State and Tennessee State are tied at 8-8 …
Composite Records: MUR (2-0), JSU (2-1), TSU (0-3)

If Jacksonville State, Murray State and Tennessee Tech are tied at 8-8 …
Composite Record: TTU (2-1), MUR (1-1), JSU (1-2)

If Jacksonville State and Murray State are tied at 8-8 …
Murray State won season series 1-0 and would be higher seed.

If Tennessee Tech and Tennessee State are tied at 8-8 (assumes both lose on Saturday) …
Split season series (1-1)
TTU would be higher seed due to win over No. 1 seed Belmont

If Tennessee State and Murray State are tied at 8-8 …
Murray State won season series 1-0 and would be higher seed.

If Jacksonville State and Tennessee State are tied at 9-7 OR 8-8 …
Jacksonville State won season series 2-0 and would be higher seed

If Jacksonville State and Tennessee Tech are tied at 9-7 OR 8-8 …
Split season series 1-1
TTU would be higher seed due to win over No. 1 seed Belmont.

If Murray State and Tennessee Tech are tied at 8-8 …
Tennessee Tech won season series 1-0 and would be higher seed.

OVC Basketball Tiebreaker

The tiebreaker system for seeding the Ohio Valley Conference Basketball Tournament will utilize the following factors, in order, until all ties are broken. In the instance where two or more teams are tied for divisional lead, the divisional leader tiebreaker system shall be utilized. Division leaders will be determined before any other seeding.

Divisional Leader Ties
(a) Head to head record will be compared with the team having the best record named as divisional leader;
(b) Overall division records will be compared with the team having the best division record named as divisional leader;
(c) Overall record against opposite division opponents will be compared with the team having the best opposite division record named as divisional leader;
(d) Records against the #3 finisher within the division will be compared with the team having the best record against the #3 finisher named as divisional leader;
(e) If step d does not break the tie, the process continues through the #6 team if necessary;
(f) In the event that the tie cannot be broken, the divisional leader shall be determined by a coin toss.

NOTE: In the case of steps D and E - if there is a tie between teams finishing 3-6 in the division, those ties should be broken prior to determining divisional leader by using the tiebreaker procedures below only with teams in that division. This is the only instance where ties between lower finishing teams will be broken first and not skipped over. In addition, these ties will only be broken for purposes of determining divisional leaders. Once divisional leaders are determined, these ties will be reinstated and handled according to the tiebreaker procedures below for determining seeds #3-8.

Two-way Ties (other than divisional leader)
(a) Records in head-to-head competition are compared with the higher seed going to the team that has won the most
games against the other;
(b) In the event step 1 does not resolve the tie (i.e., if the two teams split during the regular season), then the records for the tying teams against the No. 1 seed shall be compared. The team with the better record against the No. 1 seed shall gain the higher seed.
(c) If the potential No. 1 seed is among the tied teams, the process in step 2 will begin at the highest point in the standings that does not involve a tied team.
(d) The process continues through the No. 12 team, if necessary.
(e) In the event that the tie cannot be broken, the seedings shall be determined by a coin toss.

Multiple Ties (other than divisional leader)
(a) Composite records between tying teams will be evaluated to determine if one team has won more games against the other tying institutions (in which case that team would receive the higher seed) and/or one team has won the least number of games among the tied teams (in which case that team will receive the lowest seed), and /or two teams have the same composite record (in which case the two-team tiebreaker scenario shall be utilized);
(b) In the event this process does not resolve the multiple ties or reduce the multiple ties to one tie, then a comparison of records of the tying institutions against the No. 1 seed will occur. The team among the tying institutions with the better record against the No. 1 seed will receive the higher seed.
(c) If the potential No. 1 seed is among the tied teams, the process in step 2 will begin at the highest point in the standing that does not involve a tied team.
(d) This process continues through No. 12 team, if necessary.
(e) In the event this process does not resolve the ties, a coin toss will be the final alternative.

NOTE: If a multiple tie is reduced to a tie between two teams, the two-team tiebreaker formula will then be utilized. Ties involving teams higher in the standings are always broken before ties involving teams lower in the standings. Higher winning percentages shall prevail in tiebreaker situations, even if the number of games played against a team or group is unequal (i.e. 2-0 is better than 3-1). In the case of tied percentages, 2-0 is better than 1-0 and 0-1 is better than 0-2.


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